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Trump’s Gaza Peace Plan: A Surrender Document?

Why the proposed deal is unlikely to hold and what failure could bring

Core Points of the Plan

  1. Disarmament of Hamas
    Hamas must give up control of Gaza. Members who disarm will be granted amnesty and allowed to relocate to other countries.

  2. Prisoner and hostage exchange

    • Within 72 hours, Hamas must release all Israeli hostages.

    • Israel will release 250 prisoners serving life sentences and 1,700 Palestinians detained since October 7, 2023, including all women and children.

    • For each Israeli hostage body returned, Israel will return 15 Palestinian bodies.

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  3. Governance of Gaza

    • Gaza will be run by a technocratic Palestinian committee with no political role.

    • Oversight will come from an international “Peace Committee” chaired by Donald Trump himself.

    • An international stabilization force led by the US and Arab states will train Palestinian police.

  4. Future commitments

    • Israel will not annex Gaza and will recognize the right of Palestinians to statehood.

    • International funds will flow into Gaza for reconstruction.

    • Gaza will be fully demilitarized.


What the Plan Really Means

The core of this plan is simple:

  • Hamas is told to surrender.

  • Palestinian governance will be stripped away.

  • All trust must be placed in the good faith of Israel and the US.

This looks less like peace and more like unconditional capitulation. Even US media admit Hamas has already rejected similar proposals.

The context matters. Over the past two years, Israel’s actions in Gaza have killed over 66,000 Palestinians and injured more than 168,000. The UN reports that 70 percent of the dead are women and children, most killed in residential areas. These actions amount to collective punishment, bordering on genocide.

Given this record, expecting Palestinians to trust Netanyahu and Trump is unrealistic.


The Consequences of Failure

  1. Military
    If the deal collapses, Israel will escalate. Gaza will sink further into ruin. Civilian deaths will continue to climb.

  2. Political
    If Hamas is broken, a power vacuum emerges. History suggests more extreme groups could rise from that vacuum. Instead of ending extremism, the plan may intensify it.

  3. Regional
    Arab governments remain cautious. But public anger grows. Countries like Iran and Turkey may step in to expand influence. The Middle East would fracture further.

  4. International
    A failed deal damages US credibility. The UN will look even weaker. Global resentment toward both Israel and the US will harden.

  5. Long-term
    Violence will become more desperate and more brutal. If US backing for Israel weakens in the future, Israel could face larger waves of retaliation. Palestinian statehood will remain far out of reach, but resistance will become more extreme.


The Larger Context

October 7, 2023, when Hamas attacked Israel and killed 1,200 people, was not an isolated event. It was part of decades of unresolved conflict.

Trump and Biden both abandoned the two-state solution. They pushed Arab states to normalize relations with Israel without addressing Palestinian rights. This sidelined the Palestinian question.

If Hamas had not struck, Palestinians risked being erased from the political map, left permanently under occupation. This is why, even after massive bloodshed, the Palestinian issue has returned to the center of Middle East politics. The tragedy is that it took tens of thousands of deaths to regain attention.


No Peace in Sight

Even if a ceasefire holds, lasting peace is not on the horizon. The next wave of bloodshed is only a matter of time.

Netanyahu’s policies have drained the world’s sympathy for the Jewish people and replaced it with hostility. If the US eventually declines, Israel’s position will be exposed and fragile. Jewish history shows repeated cycles of catastrophe. Today’s far-right leadership may be laying the groundwork for the next disaster.


A Final Reminder

A weak people has no diplomacy.
Palestinians today are living proof.

Looking at Gaza, one lesson stands out: national strength and personal dignity are inseparable.

Do not say no one warned you.

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